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SeaViews: Insights from the Gray
Havens
June 2001
(formerly the _Rochester Rag_, formerly the _News
from Detroit_)
Motto: The surest way to get a reputation for
being a trouble maker these days is to go about repeating
the very phrases that the Founders used in the struggle for
independence.
-- C.A. Beard
Editorial:
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On last month's Fix;
the answer to last month's Fix,
"Should politicians be allowed to be elected under one
party, then change parties in office without standing for
reelection (as Phil Gramm did when he went from Dem to
Rep)?"
is
Reader Dave Dubey writes some good point below. He
says, and I concur, that voters ought to know the philosophy
of those they vote for - therefore (as in the case of the
Jeffords) voters ought to have know that Jeffords really
votes on the Dem side most of the time anyway. Dave then
goes on to say that this trick should be used by
Libertarians (ie masquerade as Dems to get in, the change
party in office).
Of course, the problem with this idea is, the voters
don't know who they are voting for by and large. If they
did, the masquerade trick could not work. In fact, it
probably would work -which goes to my point. That without a
handy label, most voters don't know what they are getting.
They rely on that label, for better or worse, and to not
have it be reliable undermines elections.
As for the closing quote Dave uses, Alexis deToqueville
wrote something similar in his book "Democracy in America".
He said, "democracy will work until politicians learn they
can bribe the electorate with their own money."
On another late issue;
Apologies again. Searching for a house, and last week
hosting the American Assoc of Physicists in Medicine Summer
School on campus, etc. Hopefully, the issue is worth the
wait.
Guest Editorial:
On the Immaturity of Certainty
by Steve Langer
Anyone who knows me knows that I'm not much of a true
believer, even the Vicar at our Episcopal church. But nor am
I a total atheist - if to be so means no belief in something
greater then one's immediate perceived reality. Rather, I'm
a skeptic agnostic - and I believe any honest thinking
person would come to similar conclusions - namely - the idea
of an omnipotent personal god as portrayed in the Bible is a
uniquely Western cultural perspective. This is not to say
that other world religions don't believe in personal deitys
or even reincarnation/resurrection. My Indian coworker
believes in thousands of gods - and one is her personal
protector - Kali. And of course she was a princess in a
former life - sadly not this one.
And this is the prime point. If you are a real full
blooded Catholic/Baptist/LDS (or other such Christian) you
essentially believe that other "non-beliving" peoples of the
globe are damned to eternal hell. Some groups are even more
selective - in my numerous debates with Jehovas Witnesses,
they say that only the 12 tribes will be saved at the end of
the world. And each of those tribes contain only 12,000
people. "So you're saying," I asked my Jehova friend, "that
only 144,000 people will be saved.And earlier you told me
there were over 5 million members of your Church."
"Well", he responded, "if you don't join us you have _no_
chance of salvation." "Ah, I see, salvation is a lottery and
if I join your Church the odds are better. Well - you better
hope I don't become a better beliver than you - or you will
lose your place in the lifeboat." He left my house -
oddly.
Of course, other Christians are a little more inclusive.
For instance, Catholics say: if you join our church, are
baptized, and accept Jesus, you will be saved. And for all
those poor heathens in backwaters whom the missionairies
have yet to reach - whoops - "You are the weakest link - to
Hell with you."
I believe it was Oscar Wilde who, commenting on the
Catholic statement that pets don't have souls said, "Any
religion that won't let a dog in Heaven is not for me." I
think he had something there. In any case, what follows is a
dialog between a reader and myself off line. You may find it
interesting. First, it may help to understand that Eric
forms his ideas based upon the Catechism of the Catholic
Church. To whit the following sections:
338: Nothing exists that does not owe its existence to
God the Creator.
The world began when God's word drew it out of
nothingness; all existent
beings, all of nature, and all human history are rooted
in this
primordial event, the very genesis by which the world was
constituted and
time begun.
341: The beauty of the universe: The order and harmony
of the created
world results from the diversity of beings and from the
relationships
which exist among them. Man discovers them progressively
as the laws of
nature. They call forth the admiration of scholars. The
beauty of
creation reflects the infinite beauty of the Creator and
ought to inspire
the respect and submission of man's intellect and
will.
346: In creation God laid a foundation and established
laws that remain
firm, on which the believer can rely with confidence, for
they are the
sign and pledge of the unshakeable faithfulness of God's
covenant. For
his part man must remain faithful to this foundation and
respect the laws
which the Creator has written into it.
The Catechism of the Catholic Church contain the
teachings for about 1
billion Catholics world wide.
***********
Eric writes the following points based upon the above
Catechism:
> >>> Hi,
> >>>
> >>> >If matter is unable to create
itself, then who created matter?
Note that the point is based on an unproven assertion (as
is the entire Catechism). The editor responds with:
This is what I love about religion. The argument goes
like this.
> >>1. matter could not create itself
> >>2. something does not come from
nothing
> >>3. thus an all powerful, knowing being
_somehow_ just exists and
> >>created everything
> >>
> >>if you cannot buy 1, then how can you buy
3??
> >>
> >>Anyway, matter pops out of the vacuum of
space all the time. Its what
> >>gives rise to Casimir forces and the so
called non-zero-point-energy
> >>of the quantum vacuum.
Eric replies;
> >Hi Steve,
> >
> >Matter "popping" out of the vacuum of space
doesn't answer the question of its creation. It is likely
that the matter you refer has already been previously
created and is moving from one part of space to another. As
far as the forces themselves. They only indicate that matter
already exists and are influencing it's
surroundings.
>> I'm unable to comment on
non-zero-point-energy. Please define. Is this related to a
conversation a couple of years ago as to the exact moment in
time/space of creation? That science has come close to
measuring the exact moment of creation. But is unable to get
to exact zero? If so, I hope they keep counting down. But
when and if they reach "zero" what does that prove? That
creation started at "zero" time. It too doesn't address who
initiated creation.
>I like your analysis of 1, 2, and 3. If you
disagree with your own
> >analysis please provide proof or shall we just
look away and ignore
> >the
> >answer? Ignoring the answer is a very easy thing
to do.....or shall
> >we
> >just keep counting to zero?
It doesn't matter if the item is a quark or energy,
etc...all things were
> created at time "zero". Otherwise why even start
counting? The
> existence of an infinitely complex (maybe he's
simple, maybe we're the
> ones who make him complicated), all knowing, all
seeing being was, is,
> and always will be. He exists both past, present,
and future.
> Furthermore, I don't believe this being only exists
in man's limited
> conception of normal time and space. In fact, this
being is totally
> incomprehensible by man. This being is beyond man's
limited
> understanding. But we can sense this being's
presence in creation. For
> example, when we look and the night sky with all the
stars and gaze in wonder. When we look at a beautiful
sunrise and are unable to put into
> words what we're seeing and all we can say is WOW!
In these moments, we
> are made aware of this being's presence. Not because
we sought this
> experience, but because this being chose to touch
our lives.
Whew, there is so much muddled thinking here - but let us
try to sort it out point by point.
1. Matter popping out of space does not answer the
question of its creation
This statement is absolutely true, and one of the reasons
we still study physics. But we will come back to this. If we
were truly satisfied with the biblical accounts, we'd have
no reason to study further.
2. It is likely that the matter you refer has already
been previously created and is moving from one part of space
to another.
Background: The Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle shows
how virtual particles come into existence and pop out
again, the caveat being that the net energy/mass of the
ensemble does not change. An offshoot of this effect allows
a real particle to pop out of space-time in one
place, and show up somewhere else. This effect is actually
practically used all the time, for instance in quantum
tunneling diodes. This would seem to go with Eric's point
but ...
This has been demonstrated to be _not true_ in this case
of the Casmir (and other) effects. The National Inst of
Standards, CERN and SLAC have all done experiemnts that show
if you put 2 conducting plates very near each other, they
feel a net pressure to push together and this is not gravity
but is an addition to it. The proof of this is that gravity
falls off with the square of the distance between the plates
whereas this force drops with the 6'th or higher power.
It is thought that the origin of this is caused by the
unequal distribution of virtual particles which are created
between and on the outside of the plates. As the distance
between plates shrinks - the allowed wave functions and
hence virtual quantum particles that can exist between them
is less than the number on the outsides of the plates. Hence
there is a net force to push them together. Heisenburg is
not violated becuase the existence of the particles is not
long enough to add mass to the experimental chamber - whose
mass is verified to a fraction of an electron mass to remain
constant.
But, it is not my job to try to educate 8 years of
college physics in one article, for further reading lookup
Casmir at http://www.voyager.co.nz/~duckett/casimir.html.And
for a discussion on zero point energy go to http://www.sciam.com/1297issue/1297yam.html.
3. But when and if they reach "zero" what does that
prove? That creation started at "zero" time. It too doesn't
address who initiated creation.
"Who"? Talk about a loaded and skewed perspective.
Eric, you demonstrate a breathtaking ability to miss the
point. Do you really think that thousands of people would
spend their lives and billions of dollars to prove that the
Universe started at time T=0? They can just define that
moment as zero.
The point of that discussion was _not_ to find the exact
age of the moment of creation.
The point was that physics can now explain to the Planck
Time (when the universe was 10 ^-40 seconds old or so) every
process that unfurled the structure of the universe as we
know it today.
The point is - we are very close having a model of _why_
the universe in fact exists - and it has something to do
with the fact that at the Planck scale, there is a sharp
increase in the cosmological constant which give rise to an
asymetric anti-gravity force in the false vacuum.. See
http://map.gsfc.nasa.gov/html/inflation.html
and http://www.2think.org/tiu.shtml
and http://www.nsplus.com/ns/970510/review.html
The point is, we can _today_ explain from the age 10^-40
seconds to the present why atoms, light, galaxies, stars,
and planets exist as they do - all without resorting to
God.
The point is, the need to resort to God to explain the
creation of the Cosmos is now shrunk to a circle whose
radius is 10^-40 seconds, and that circle is shrinking more
every year (at the beginning of 1900 that radius was about
300,000 years).
The point is, if physics can finish off this last
zillonth of a second, we will have a complete explanation
for the origin and evolution of the Cosmos - without
resorting to a God.
The point is, when that day arrives, you can rip out the
book of Genesis from the family Bible.
There - hopefully that was not too subtle.
4. I like your analysis of 1, 2, and 3. If you
disagree with your own analysis please provide proof or
shall we just look away and ignore theanswer? Ignoring the
answer is a very easy thing to do.....or shall we just keep
counting to zero?
Can anyone explain what this means?
5. It doesn't matter if the item is a quark
or energy, etc...all things were created at time "zero".
Otherwise why even start counting? .... He exists both past,
present, and future.
So everything exists at time zero? Oh, you mean
everything but God does - he just is.
How convenient. You cannot believe that matter comes from
nothing, but you find it easier to believe some old white
guy with a long beard somehow just is/was/will exist and is
all knowing, all loving, cares about all of us (except pets
and those the missionaries have yet to reach) and set it all
in motion?
This - to me is the pinnacle of self delusion, and is the
hallmark of most religions. The inability to believe that a
particle can spring into existance without a precondition -
but that somehow this infinetly complex being can. This line
of reasoning posts two key inconsistencies:
a) everything has a start except God (ie God just is, but
somehow the Universe cannot just be)
b) everything in nature starts from the simple and
evolves to the complex, except God who comes out full force
omnipotent.
6. In fact, this being is totally
incomprehensible by man. This being is beyond man's limited
understanding.
Eric, be so kind as to explain to our readers how it is
that _you_ personally know what is comprehensible to every
human that has, does or will ever live. Is it in the Bible?
The Catechism?
Summary:
What it boils to is that most modern day religions at
bottom are no different than ancient pagan religions that in
ignorance appealed to a Sun god, Wind god, fertility
goddess, etc. What cannot be understood is ascribed to
magic/religion.
The problem is, different people understand different
things to differing amounts. If one can explain the origin
of the universe without resorting to the ignorant crutch of
a deity - then by Occam's Razor why would one invoke the
extra complexity? [But maybe that same person does not
understand procreation and ascribes pregnancy to the
fertility goddess.]
There is an insidious arrogant ignorance to many
religions and their zealots which is - if science is
wrong/incomplete on any point -- then religion must be the
answer. Furthermore, if the zealot does not understand the
science argument, then it must be wrong and again - religion
must be right. Of course, since the zealot already
knows the answer, why would they bother to learn
anything new? Eric hinges this particular argument for the
existence of God on the statement that matter cannot create
itself (an approximation that works on present day earth)
and thus God must have done it. Of course, this only
replaces one origin question with another - but magically at
that point religios zealots are content to say that God just
is.
What I have tried to do in this article is to present
ideas that are linked to experimental fact. Things that
other people have written about and duplicated. You don't
have to take my word for these things - or words that were
written by people over 2000 years ago who have been
subjected to over 100 generations of subsequent rewrites and
translation (all error free to be sure). And even better, if
you don't trust me (and why should you?) or thousands of
other researchers, you can in fact train yourself and
duplicate these findings in your very own lab.
Science is not perfect and we don't have all the answers
yet - and that is why it exists. We observe, model, predict
with our models and test the predictions. We repeat as
required to get the desired prediction accuracy. And most
importantly - others should be able to duplicate our
results. Anything less is not science. Does this mean that
the models are "Truth." No! Any honest scientist will tell
you the current theories are just the sum of experimental
knowledge to date - subject to updating if a better model is
found.
But religion cannot say that. By definition, if the Bible
is the word of God, then that's it. Bam, over. You cannot
update the book and say, "Well you know, maybe women can be
priests or sure - homosexuality is OK." You cannot test God,
you cannot make an experiment, stand back and watch a
miracle and have others duplicate it. By definition -
religion is faith unchanging.
Now, does the argument outlined here (ie if science can
demonstrate all the processes that gave birth to the Cosmos)
prove the non-existence of God? Well, as rational people
know it's damn near impossible to prove a negative outside
of pure math. But I would posit that an internally complete
scientific explantion of the Cosmic origin points to one of
the following;
a) Either God had nothing to do with the creation of the
universe, and a God shorn of the creation story is sort of
impotent or
b) God is just another word for the creation force, and
is not a sentient/omnipotent being
It seems B is more likely. As for personal immortality, I
wish it did exist, but there are numerous problems with it
(see the Nov. 1999 Scientific American or http://www.sciam.com/1999/1199issue/1199rennie.html
). Who would not want the certainty of an afterlife with
their loved ones at hand? I would love to know that I will
be rewarded for leading a moral life, that the people who I
turned the other cheek to will get their just reward, and
that the knowledge gained over a lifetime will not leak out
of my head as worm food. But I don't have that
certainty.
I grew up.
Letters:
1. Dave Dubey's first entry.
Date: Tue, 19 Jun 2001 13:52:59 EDT
From: Phantm5@aol.com
To: sglanger@oakland.edu
Subject: Question of the month
In response to "Should politicians be allowed to be
elected under one party,
then change parties in office without standing for
reelection (as Phil Gramm
did when he went from Dem to Rep)?", the answer is
yes. People are supposed
to be voting for a person, not a party. (But how many
people know anything
about who they are voting for?) Anyone who knew Jeffords
knew he wasn't
really a Republican anyway. The question of whether it
is ethical is
entirely different.
Besides, this way all libertarians could switch to the
Dem party (or
whichever party is dominant in the district) before the
election, and then
after elected, switch back. Incumbants always win, so
then there would be a
third party in congress for a while.
Also, an interesting quote I ran into today:
"A Democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of
government. It can only
exist until voters discover that they can vote themselves
money from the
public treasury. From that moment on the majority always
votes for the
candidates promising the most money from the public
treasury, with the result
that a democracy always collapses over loose fiscal policy,
followed by a
dictatorship."
-- Lord Alexander Tyler on the fall of the Athenian
Republic
- Dave
2. Dave Dubey writes again.
Date: Sun, 24 Jun 2001 21:34:45 EDT
From: Phantm5@aol.com
To: sglanger@oakland.edu
Subject: Global Warming
[ The following text is in the "ISO-8859-1" character
set. ]
[ Your display is set for the "US-ASCII" character set.
]
[ Some characters may be displayed incorrectly.
]
This article by Philip Stott was from a speech given in
England. It hits the
one point nobody ever seems to notice - That it would be
unusual if our
climate wasn't changing (warming or cooling). There is an
additional article
on the website where this came from that explains all the
players in Kyoto
and why they're pushing it. It's titled "The Baptists and
the Bootleggers",
and makes an interesting comparison to the outlawing of
selling liquor on
Sundays. I don't know if you've seen this or heard his yet.
If you have,
then disregard.
Cheers...
- Dave Dubey
Global Warming
Essay No. 1
'Global Warming: A Debate for All Seasons'
© Philip Stott 2001
The turn-of-the-Millennium discovery that climate changes
surely tells us
more about ourselves than about climate.
An unusually sultry day, a summer conflagration in an
Athens suburb, bursting
riverbanks in China or Honduras, a Tex-Mex heatwave, or even
a
vice-presidential utterance, can all send the world's media
into a frenzy of
unalloyed Millennium ecohype. From The Washington Post,
through BBC Radio 4's
'Today' programme to The Guardian, journalists who should
know a great deal
better revel with abandon in the forthcoming doom of Planet
Earth, mapping
floods, fire and fear across a burning globe. And what is
more, it is all our
fault (especially the Americans, of course)!
Self-flagellation can proceed
apace, as we pump out greenhouse gases, cut down rain
forests, burn up Brazil
and Indonesia, and greedily gas-guzzle our dusty way to
death along choking
and clogged-up roads. The Garden of Eden is polluted beyond
belief, the airy woods of our Golden Age destroyed, and the
flames of Hell are licking at the
very door. Oh what a lovely global disaster! How we need
it!
In this increasingly self-obsessed, event-driven, 'New
Age', we appear to
have lost any ability to see beyond our own brief hour upon
the stage. There
is no time for cool reflection about our very transient
place in the long
history of the world. We are so bombarded by news, minute on
minute, that
each and every reported disaster takes on a vital global
significance and
seems to be part of that inexorable environmental Armageddon
facing the
Earth. In the 1980s, we were plunging back to an Ice Age or
a Nuclear Winter;
currently, we are thermally challenged by this or that
degree Centigrade or
Fahrenheit of overheating, and it all ties in with a deep
desire for human
guilt with regard to the causes. Somewhat arrogantly, we
want it to be our
fault; hence, of course, the recent focus on the gas, carbon
dioxide.
Everybody can seemingly blame everybody else's emissions and
carbon stores,
with pious Europe (the United Kingdom and Denmark to the
fore) pointing the
finger at the USA, the South at the North, or - and the
morality here is
frankly disgraceful - the North at the South. We can even
bring in those
great 'Green' shibboleths of rain forest destruction,
biodiversity loss, forest fires, Brazil and China.
In truth, of course, all this is intrinsically
self-indulgent and very
dangerous for the longer-term debate that should be taking
place with regard
to environmental change. The climate change question is
complicated beyond
imagination and to reduce the arguments to what we are now
witnessing is both
to devalue its essential seriousness and to cloud the issues
involved. From
the very start, the whole discussion - or perhaps more
properly rhetoric -
has been flawed, above all because of the remarkable failure
to recognise
that climate change is the norm, and that climate varies at
all scales, all
the time, and not just in our 'ever-so-important' lifetime
or under human
influence.
If climate were not changing, then we really would have
something of note to
report. There is no such thing as a stable climate, as the
different climate
cycles, ranging from less than a second to tens of thousands
of years in
length, impinge constantly one on another. Some 20,000 years
ago, we were at
the most recent glacial maximum; things then warmed up, but
with lots of
fluctuations; 7,500 years back it was all warm again; then
Europe had its 'Little Ice Age'; and so on, ad infinitum.
Most recently, scientists at the
prestigious Weizmann Institute in Israel found evidence of a
'natural' global
warming in equatorial Africa that took place between 350 BC
and 450 AD;
luckily humans survived this even though The Guardian wasn't
around to report
it. And just remember, circa 1200 A.D., it was 2 degrees
Celsius warmer than
it is now!
The idea that climate change can be attributed to just
one or two politically
chosen factors, such as the so-called 'greenhouse gases',
like carbon dioxide
and methane, is simply very bad science. Climate change is
controlled by
millions of interlinked factors, ranging from the swish of a
butterfly's
wing, through 11- and 22-year solar magnetic cycles,
volcanism,
ocean-atmospheric linkages, sunspot activity, shorter
duration wobbles of the
Earth, to 96,000-year orbital changes and even intermittent
meteor impacts.
The intrinsic complexity of all these myriad links still
totally defeats our
climate modellers, many of whom cannot even account for the
variation of
water vapour, the most important greenhouse gas of all, and
this means that
climate change remains largely unpredictable. Moreover, this
inherent unpredictability should warn us that, when,
God-like, we try to adjust one or
two of the factors involved, such as greenhouse gas
emissions, our very best
intentions may bring about results we neither expect nor
want. We have no
knowledge of how the tiny changes we initiate may interact
with all the other
ever-changing cycles.
But perhaps more importantly, we have forgotten that
causality is not a law
that Nature obeys, but the way in which the propositions of
science and
knowledge are cast. Unfortunately, in the somewhat heated
greenhouse-warming
debate, the propositions are largely based on comparison and
association, and
association between 'facts' and figures is notoriously
dangerous as a key to
understanding 'process'. One person's correlation is another
person's
nonsense; this group of scientists will claim a close
association with the
rising curve for carbon dioxide, another with changes in
cloud cover linked
to sunspot activity. The arguments can go on endlessly, each
proponent
espousing their ultimately untestable association and
positing this or that
degree of climate change. We talk earnestly about finding
which factor is
'forcing' change, but the very short climate record for
which there are any
meaningful statistics further compounds the problem, so that
there is no realistic chance of isolating the influences of
the many different factors
involved. Under such circumstances, protagonists simply seek
the association
that best supports their initial prejudices and they argue
this to be 'fact'
under all circumstances. In television debates, extreme
environmentalist
speakers seem prone to chant a near religious mantra of "3
degrees, 3
degrees" whatever points the other participants in a
discussion are making.
Above all, however, there has been a total failure to
grasp that prediction
and climate 'control' are not the traditional ways by which
human beings have
coped with climate change. In the past, humans have survived
change by
adaptation and movement, and, whatever happens to greenhouse
gas emissions,
we will have to do so again in the future, developing new
crops through
biotechnology, new forms of engineering and habitation, and
by recognising
that we will not be able to afford to defend all our human
habitats against
change. British MPs in Committee rightly concluded that the
economics of our
long-term defences against sea-level rise were simply not
tenable. I wonder
how they will cope in Santa Monica?
What is desperately needed now is not the cartoon
rhetoric of Al Gore, or Greenpeace mantras, or the
uncritical agenda set by sensation-seeking or
politically-motivated reporters, but the development, at a
local, national,
regional, and global scale, of radical and innovative
approaches to risk
assessment in the face of all environmental change, and not
just climate
change. In making this assessment, we must accept that
unpredictable,
gradual, and sudden change all constitute the very essence
of things, and
take into account the fact that such changes so often affect
the poor and the
disadvantaged differentially from the rich. When the tidal
wave hits Seattle,
we won't all be able to survive it along with Frasier in his
penthouse
apartment - how he must hope that Niles is in the coffee
shop below! We must
also acknowledge that there is no such thing as stability,
that, in the end,
climate 'means' are largely 'meaningless', and that what we
regard as
'extremes' are probably the 'norms' of a disequilibrium
world.
Climate will always change, warming or cooling, becoming
drier or wetter,
while rivers flood, volcanoes erupt, and seas rise or fall.
How, and in what
practical ways - as a world community -, can we help the
human populations
facing such changes? How can people migrate when confronted
by a sudden or
catastrophic change in a world that has increasingly fixed
and protected political boundaries? How can we deal with the
human consequences of inevitable change, from the
disadvantaged souls living below a Caribbean
volcano in Montserrat to the movie stars of Malibu, as their
dollar-rich real
estate finally slithers and slides into the Pacific
Ocean?
All this is why the current debate on greenhouse warming
is so dangerous. The
crass and simplistic agenda is both wrong and unhelpful.
First, it prevents
the science from being discussed in a rational and sensible
manner, with all
the lines of evidence taken into account; more importantly,
it distracts us
from facing up to the serious economic, social, and
political issues that
ultimately need to be addressed with regard to the
management of risk in the
face of change.
We desperately need a debate for all seasons, hot, cold,
wet, or dry, and one
that focuses, not on humans as the evil forces behind
change, but on humans
as the victims of change, especially the poor and the
oppressed. By contrast,
from Kyoto onwards to this November and The Hague, our media
have given us
only fire and flood, doom and despair. I have increasingly
felt like that old
6th Century BC philosopher, Heracleitus, as he looked down
on the folly of the Ephesians from his cave high in the
mountains: remember folks, "All is
flux, nothing is stationary."
Quote(s) of the month:
"When you take that many long-suffering, war-torn groups and
put them in the same place, how can you not
have peace?"
-- Jimmy Carter (see Net News below)
Fix of the month:
"Our local Indian reservations sell fireworks. The
interesting thing is, the fireworks stands are decorated
with US Flags. Odd?"
News:
New York;
1. NY City, 6 July: The Wall Street Journal reports that
despite drops in interest rates, markets and housing starts
continue to slide. A recession is certainly underway.This
would seem to indicate the need for speed in adopting atxt
cuts.
2. July 2: Over 40 states are proposing to ban the use of
cell phones by drivers while driving. Bans have already gone
into effect around NY CIty and in Ohio. While statistics are
still thin, it appears that cell phone use is a cause of at
least as many driving accidents as drinking, although MADD
has yet to call for the ban.
Florida;
1. Pensacola, July 7: An 8-year-old boy remains in
critical condition after surgeons worked through the night
to reattach his arm, which was bitten off during a shark
attack in Pensacola, Florida yesterday. A park service
official said the boy's uncle dove into the water and pulled
the boy and the 250-pound, six and a half foot shark to the
shore. The uncle then wrestled the shark on the beach where
a park ranger shot it three times in the head.
Shark experts say shark attacks on humans are rare, but
bull sharks, the species that attacked the boy, are one of
the most aggressive sharks and are responsible for some of
the most serious injuries because of the way their jaws are
constructed. There were 79 recorded shark attacks worldwide
last year, with nearly half taking place in Florida. Only
ten of those attacks were fatal
New Hampshire;
1. 3 July: A man rented a car from ACME and when he
recieved the resulting charge card bill was surprised by an
extra charge of $450 dollars. Unbeknownst to the renter, the
GPS equipped car also radioed back to ACME whenever the
vehicle exceeded 77 MPH, to the tune of $150 per incident.
Confronted, ACME spokesperson responded with, "It's company
policy to help the state police enforce speeding laws - it's
speeled out in the contract." [In the extra fine print
part.]
The renter ran this through the state supreme court and
they found that a private business dod not have the right to
charge fines in place of police. However, the court was
silent on the issue on whether the cars could be made to
radio police of their location and speed once a speeding
incident was under way.
Washington D.C.
1. 5 July: The national average price of fuel has dropped
over $.10, and this at a time when the proce usually peaks
for the summer vacation season.
Ed: Since the press was quick to point out that Bush Jr.
was pro-oil and his friends in the industry would benefit
from higher prices, I wonder if they will be as quick to
note the proce downturn.
2. July 3: In Europe for another leadership meeting, Bush
Jr. continues to decline that that the US willl not
participate on the Kyoto pollution accords. However, this is
not news, as the Congress under Clinton already voted down
the proposal and only one European country voted in favor of
it. The world now waits to see how Japan will vote.
3. The McCain-Fiengold incumbant protection Act, excuse
me, Campaign Finance Reform Act, got another boost when the
Supreme Court last month upheld the "right" of states to
limit the amount of $$ that a state party can spend in the
election support of its candidates. This clears the way for
McCain-Feingold to copy the language of those state bills,
and get away with limiting free speech.
Net News;
1. From the Onion
UNITED NATIONS--In a bold gambit hoped to resolve
dozens of conflicts around the world, the U.N.
announced Monday the establishment of Ethniklashistan, a
multinational haven in the West Bank that will serve as
a
new homeland for Irish Protestants, Hutus, Serbs, and other
troubled groups.
"For far too long, these
groups have been locked in prolonged strife with their
former
neighbors, unable to achieve a lasting peace," U.N.
Secretary-General Kofi Annan said. "Now that
these various peoples have a new homeland where they can
find refuge, all the years of fighting and
bloodshed can finally be put behind them."
Former Serbian leader
Slobodan Milosevic, now presiding over a Serb settlement
near the
Jordanian border, was optimistic about the future. "All
Muslim scum must die," he said. "Death to all
enemies of Serbian purity!"
The various groups,
transported to Ethniklashistan by a massive U.N. airlift,
will share
their new homeland with the roughly two million Palestinians
and Israeli settlers who currently
occupy the region. U.N. officials say the West Bank site was
chosen for its centralized location,
opportunities for tourism, and comfortable desert climate.
These factors, combined with the already
diverse cultural, ethnic, and religious composition of the
area, offer "a unique opportunity for many international
groups to live together in peace."
"This is truly a win-win
situation," U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell said.
"War-ravaged peoples from all
over the world finally have a place they can feel safe. And,
for the Palestinians and Israelis already there, the
presence of additional ethnicities should reduce any
pre-existing stresses. Arabs and Jews will enjoy exposure to
a
glorious, multiethnic stew, and they will, in turn, have the
opportunity to lead by example, serving as role models
of
peaceful coexistence."
Hutu leader Kagabo
Ndadaye, who between 1994 and 1996 personally oversaw the
machete deaths of more
than 10,000 Tutsi Rwandans, echoed the positive outlook.
"The glorious Hutu are the one pure race," said
Ndadaye, speaking from a Hutu settlement near Hebron while
eyeing a nearby Kurdish settlement. "All inferior
mongrel peoples shall be put to the blade."
Though hopes are high for
Ethniklashistan--a name created by a team of linguists who
combined 17 different
languages' words for "sanctuary"--the establishment of the
new homeland has proven rocky. Of the more than
500,000 people relocated there so far, approximately 97
percent have responded with violent resistance, swearing
oaths of eternal vengeance against U.N. volunteers
conducting the forced relocations.
Bloodshed also marred the
"Festival Of Human Brotherhood," a weeklong, nationwide
event celebrating the
founding of Ethniklashistan. On Monday, 11 people were
killed in a skirmish between Basques and Sikhs near
Nablus. The same day, six were killed and dozens injured on
the streets of Bethlehem when Somalis and Greek
Cypriots exchanged gunfire and grenades.
Dozens of shifting
alliances have added to the confusion and chaos. In a
pre-dawn border raid Monday,
Burmese Karen rebels attacked a Tamil settlement. By late
afternoon, the Karens were driven back by the Tamils,
who were newly armed with Israeli anti-personnel missiles
smuggled into the West Bank by Zionist fundamentalists
who had allied themselves--some say only as a temporary
ruse--with the Tamils.
On Tuesday, guerrilla fighters made up of an uneasy
Palestinian-Papuan alliance attacked an Irish Protestant
church near the Golan Heights, killing 121 Irish worshippers
with nerve gas before being repelled by a nearby
faction of Protestant-sympathizing Zapatista rebels from the
Chiapas region of Mexico.
The violence continued that evening, when the severed
heads of 20 Chechens were paraded through the streets
of Jericho by Azerbaijani extremists. The killings are
thought to be in retaliation for rocket attacks by a
band of pro-Armenian Chechen rebels, who have thus far
evaded Azerbaijani attempts to flush them out of
their encampments in the hills with prolonged
shelling.
Alarmed by the new nation's growing pains, world leaders
have launched a large-scale international-aid effort to help
Ethniklashistan get on its feet. Great Britain has
pledged 12,000 peacekeeping troops,
vowing to "pummel with rubber bullets, tear gas, and billy
clubs anyone who dares threaten the Sons of Ulster."
China has pledged 40,000 soldiers to supervise the
2,000-plus Tibetan Buddhists relocated to the region.
Indonesia,
Cambodia, Nigeria, and Afghanistan have also sent
troops.
"There is always a period
of transition and upheaval in the founding of a new
government," President Bush said.
"That is why an international humanitarian consortium of
nations, including the U.S., France, Russia, Iraq, and
North
Korea, has pledged $2 trillion in military aid to the new
nation. This way, all Ethniklashistanis, regardless of
race,
color, creed, or economic background, will have equal access
to the state-of-the-art ordnance they need to defend
themselves and their families during this initial period of
instability."
Encouraged by such aid
efforts, experts are confident that a lasting peace can soon
be established among the
rival Ethniklashistani groups.
"When you take that many
long-suffering, war-torn groups and put them in the same
place, how can you not
have peace?" asked former president Jimmy Carter, who will
lead talks among the various Ethniklashistani groups.
"This hatred cannot possibly last long."
2. From the Wall Street Journal
Court Ruling Was No Victory
For Microsoft King Pyrrhus, meet Bill Gates.
BY ROBERT H. BORK AND KENNETH W. STARR
Thursday, July 5, 2001 12:01 a.m. EDT
While trumpeting last week's "victory" in the Court of
Appeals,
Microsoft executives would do well to recall the words of
King
Pyrrhus after his famous battle with the Romans: "One
more
such victory and we are lost." The truth behind the spin is
that
Microsoft's victory was not even pyrrhic. A quotation
from
George Armstrong Custer would be more appropriate, if
only
he'd been available for a press conference after Little Big
Horn.
The government won on the central issue in the case:
Microsoft was held to have monopolized the
operating-system
market in violation of the Sherman Act.
On no count, moreover, was Microsoft's behavior found
lawful.
The charge of attempted monopolization of the browser
market
failed only because the government did not offer readily
available evidence that browsers constituted a relevant
market
and that barriers to entry existed. Microsoft won not
because it
was innocent but because the government did not carry
its
burden.
Much the same is true of the court's reversal and remand
for
trial on the issue of whether Microsoft's bolting of its
operating
system and browser into a single package was an illegal
tying
arrangement. Noting that the integration of products
often
benefits consumers, the court rejected a rule of per se
illegality
and remanded for trial under the rule of reason. The
government will have to prove that the anticompetitive
effect in
the browser market outweighs any enhanced efficiency.
Since
Microsoft has never been able to articulate a plausible
efficiency from the bolting, the government seems likely
to
prevail.
For no discernible reason, much of the press has
unquestioningly accepted Microsoft's jubilation that the
Court
of Appeals vacated the trial court's order that Microsoft
be
broken into two independent companies. Nobody, including
the government's lawyers, expected that order to stand
up.
Microsoft was denied even the most rudimentary hearing
on
the appropriate remedy. Now there is to be a hearing, and
there
are compelling reasons to take divestiture seriously.
But when the court addressed the charge of monopolization
of
the operating-system market, which was the core of the
case,
the news was all bad for Microsoft. The company was found
to
have destroyed the nascent threats to its operating
system
monopoly posed by Netscape's browser, Navigator, and Sun
Microsystems' Java, a technology designed to work with
any
operating system. Singly or in combination, these could
accept
applications and thus threaten Microsoft's monopoly by
making users and application writers indifferent to the
operating system used. The attacks on Navigator and Java
were exclusionary tactics without benefit, and promising
ultimate harm, to consumers. This was a violation of the
Sherman Act.
Microsoft officials and lawyers are no doubt pondering
the
ramifications of that holding. There are a lot, most of
them
gloomy, if not cataclysmic. There is, to begin with, the
trial on
remand, which will consider whether the integration of
the
operating system and the browser was an illegal tie-in, as
well
as whether the remedy for monopolization of the
operating-system market calls for structural alterations
in
Microsoft or only a forest of restraints on its future
conduct.
The latter question may be greatly influenced by evidence
that
Microsoft is continuing the same pattern of behavior
with
respect to new products that was found illegal on this
appeal.
The company is, for instance, bolting products and
services--for example, tying video and audio streaming to
one
or more of its three monopolies (Windows XP, Office EXP
and
Internet Explorer 6.0). Microsoft appears impervious to law.
It
seems an unrepentant recidivist. That is a major reason
to
consider a breakup seriously.
Microsoft will continue to argue that any serious remedy
would damage innovation. But Microsoft suppressed the
innovation of Netscape, Sun and Intel. In any case,
Microsoft
is hardly a leading innovator. It bought the technologies
for its
major products. Its genius has been in business and
predation,
not innovation.
Microsoft's response to the legal threat it continues to
face is
to unleash a swarm of lobbyists and lawyers upon the
administration and Congress to urge a quick settlement.
Judging from its past negotiations with the Department
of
Justice, the company will not accept any settlement that
seriously inhibits its ability to engage in predation.
If the administration is gulled with the argument that a
quick
and easy settlement would help the economy, it will make
a
serious mistake. The economy's problems, including poor
corporate earnings, have nothing to do with Microsoft's
legal
troubles. Such a settlement would be bad economics and
bad
law. Particularly after a 7-0 government win from judges of
very
diverse views, an easy settlement would be seen as
blatantly
political, a capitulation to a money-heavy lawbreaker left
free to
continue its monopolizing rampages.
Even a settlement favorable to Microsoft would not end
the
company's peril. The state plaintiffs would remain, and an
even
greater danger lurks: private triple-damage actions by
injured
companies that, as the court said, will "deter those
firms
inclined to test the limits of the law." Those plaintiffs
can rely
upon the appeals court's ruling and need do little more
than
prove they were injured and by how much to collect
damages
running well into the billions of dollars. Such companies
would
have to answer to their shareholders if they do not reach
for
what one lawyer has described as "low-hanging fruit."
That
may be Microsoft's final punishment for its egregious
misconduct.
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